[Manifold-l] Manifold reference clients

JBurn_GIS jburn_gis at cogeco.ca
Tue Oct 17 23:49:15 CDT 2006


Well said:-)

---------------
James Burn BSc, GIS(pg), AScT
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Simon Greener (SpatialDB Advisor) 
  To: F Whiteley ; 'Pat Waggaman' ; manifold-l at lists.directionsmag.com 
  Sent: Tuesday, October 17, 2006 9:32 PM
  Subject: Re: [Manifold-l] Manifold reference clients


  Everyone,

  >>> The point was raised that the forestry industry works long term, it  
  >>> takes 20 years - down here - to grow trees
  >
  > I brought this topic up at the Manifold user meeting at UCL and we had an
  > interesting discussion about it.  As the number of licences sold was not
  > forth coming from Manifold, there was a concern regarding Manifold long  
  > term funding of the product.  From my perspective the sales don't seem  
  > to support the expenditure, which apparently means we are getting a real  
  > bargain!

  I don't think that it is at all helpful for customers to be making guesses
  about any one company's financial viability in light of there not being any
  quantitative statistics on sales, licenses, revenue etc. The help page  
  "About
  Manifold System" points out that CDA International Ltd has been in business
  since 1993 (ie 13 years) which is a long time to be in the computing  
  industry.
  Manifold GIS has been on the market since 1997 - though other products did  
  exist
  before 1997. The product we all know and love since 5.0 has been around  
  for over
  4 years with beta builds for over a year before that.

  I attended some of the first ESRI User Conferences when there were,  
  literally,
  only a handful of users of ArcInfo. No one questioned ESRI Inc's commercial
  viability then - AND the software cost hundreds of THOUSANDS of dollars  
  and not
  hundreds of dollars! It is unfair to question Manifold GIS in a way that  
  we did not
  for ESRI back all those years ago. To do so creates FUD which plays into  
  the hands
  of Manifold's competitors.

  > I don't care how it is financed just as long as I can run Manifold, and  
  > yes, at least one of the users represented was a large civil engineering  
  > company using other mainstream GIS systems and Manifold appeared to be  
  > their
  > preferred product.

  This passion for Manifold GIS is its greatest strength. We know and love  
  it because
  it is GOOD, VERY VERY GOOD! And we use it alongside other products so we  
  constantly
  benchmark its functionality.

  > So we can be assured the product is a good solid GIS and fit for  
  > purpose: we have a very good bargain software which may or maynot be  
  > around for very long.

  It is up to CDA International to decide pricing. There has been no mention
  of price increases which indicates to me that the company is financially  
  healthy.
  If they needed to up the price we would have heard warning sounds for  
  quite a while
  now. All the latest updates are coming for free with no indication of  
  there being
  a charge! IMHO 7.0 was a massive gift to us users when they would have  
  been justified
  in charging the standard version upgrade price of around USD50. That they  
  didn't
  again indicates that they are not feeling any great financial constraints.  
  It also
  indicates that they are an honourable company: they said that 7.00 was a  
  6.50 SP and
  kept to their word even though I believe that they could have changed  
  their minds and
  charged us for 7.00. That buys a lot of allegiance from me because, as an  
  old fashioned
  bloke I believe a "man's word is his bond".

  > 20 years is too long to plan for in software terms, so what can we  
  > expect?
  > My advice is nothing, don't bargain on anything.  Protect your  
  > application
  > by being in a position to port to another GIS if you need to - this  
  > could be
  > expensive and long winded, but only a cost you would incur in the  
  > unlikely
  > event that Manifold folds or is bought out and yanks up the prices.  This
  > scenario is likely to happen to any company, but probably more likely  
  > with Manifold than those that have been around since 1985.

  There has been a lot of discussion about ESRI's pricing over the years. I  
  have
  heard that they have not been making much money in desktop sales and are  
  keen
  to move back to the server appliance as they can charge a premium for this
  technology. Their background is mainframes and big computing machines and  
  so
  would see servers as more in line with their history and cost structures.  
  I agree
  with Dimitri that they are not nimble enough to truly compete on the  
  desktop at
  desktop prices. My view is that they survive because, through their giving
  software to universities, they have won the hearts and minds of geomatics  
  professionals
  such that when they leave uni and go to work in a company or govt  
  department they
  buy ESRI software because that is what they are used to and believe is  
  what true
  geospatial professionals should use.

  > Manifold actually gives you the ability to protect yourself to a certain
  > extent from this event - using external databases to hold the data will
  > allow you to migrate to another system if you have to, albeit with some  
  > cost in extra programming and systems admin.  You should do this in any  
  > system.

  Yes this is true but the biggest single thing that gives anyone protection
  is to ensure that, at the database level, there is data-level  
  interoperability.
  This is what Oracle Spatial provides.  Then you can purchase best of breed
  software that fits your business requirements: Manifold for generic GIS  
  processing;
  a CAD package for CAD specific things; etc etc. More importantly, GIS  
  Managers should
  move to manage a business's geospatial metadata and time-invariant things  
  like page
  layouts, fonts, styles etc independently of any one vendor.

  > Even adding the extra cost of porting from Manifold licensing will be
  > significantly cheaper at this time ( about 1/10th ).

  The cost of migrating from any one vendor to any other is always the  
  biggest
  single cost - far outweighs license costs.

  > The biggest worry I have is activation keys ....

  > I would really be happier if I could buy the software for life, not till  
  > the next hardware failure or upgrade, and be able to back it up for 10  
  > years
  > without fear.

  This is a reasonable concern though I suspect that CDA International is in  
  no
  danger of going bust.

  > All this needs to be costed in both Manifold and its suggested  
  > alternative. My guess is that Manifold will still win hands down.
  >
  > But all the uncertainty is not helping - I think Manifold are playing  
  > things too close to their chest: A lot of people will be put off  
  > developing new
  > code based on Manifold ( a heavy investment) if they think the cost
  > justification is about to go pear shaped any minute now.

  I don't know where all this uncertainty is coming from so to discuss it  
  just
  keeps the fuelling something which just isn't real.

  Given that we all seem to be airing our views on Manifold's future I will  
  air mine.
  I think Manifold GIS will simply go from strength to strength. Business  
  Partners
  are already starting to appear and the product just keeps getting better.  
  If anything
  did happen to CDA International I suspect it more likely that some other  
  company
  will make them an offer they can't refuse. If I was Microsoft or even  
  Oracle, I would
  be making that offer (before Jack makes them an offer)!

  regards
  S
  -- 
  --------------------------------------------------
  Simon Greener
  SpatialDB Advice, Solutions Architect,
  Oracle Spatial, MYSQL, PostGIS and Manifold enthusiast
  Allens Rivulet, Tasmania, Australia.
  Voice: +61 3 62396397
  Longitude: 147.2048
  Latitude: -43.0141
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